标题: 美国哪里房子涨的最快, 跌得最快
九峰





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发表于 2016-8-24 05:00 PM  资料  个人空间  短消息  加为好友 
美国哪里房子涨的最快, 跌得最快

今天我们通过过去20年的数据来告诉你哪些邮编是涨的最快的,哪些邮编不但没涨还大幅下跌。
先看一下过去20年涨得最快的邮编(按涨幅排序):
ZIP City State 1996-06 2016-06 96年以来涨幅
7302 Jersey City NJ 148500 1006300 578%
90291 Los Angeles CA 240600 1623900 575%
90028 Los Angeles CA 159400 978100 514%
19130 Philadelphia PA 80500 485100 503%
90004 Los Angeles CA 245600 1465400 497%
94303 Palo Alto CA 362100 2105900 482%
7030 Hoboken NJ 283000 1636900 478%
94301 Palo Alto CA 662600 3787900 472%
2120 Boston MA 94900 539600 469%
94306 Palo Alto CA 436000 2462800 465%
80205 Denver CO 67600 381700 465%
90026 Los Angeles CA 144900 798200 451%
90048 Los Angeles CA 305500 1667000 446%
33139 Miami Beach FL 689100 3686500 435%
2128 Boston MA 77700 414100 433%
19125 Philadelphia PA 47700 252500 429%
94103 San Francisco CA 248900 1316900 429%
80211 Denver CO 86400 457100 429%
94702 Berkeley CA 164000 865900 428%
94041 Mountain View CA 328500 1732100 427%
90404 Santa Monica CA 228300 1200000 426%
90029 Los Angeles CA 145300 763400 425%
90038 Los Angeles CA 159500 837300 425%
33137 Miami FL 143200 749800 424%
90405 Santa Monica CA 321000 1668400 420%
新泽西的7302邮编拔得头筹,1996年的14.8万美元房产已经100万美元了。在涨的最快的25个邮编中,加州占了15席。
再看一下过去20年跌得最快的邮编:
ZIP City State 1996-06 2016-06 96年以来涨幅
48227 Detroit MI 86300 34600 -60%
48202 Detroit MI 100300 42600 -58%
48203 Detroit MI 114600 49200 -57%
48214 Detroit MI 87700 39400 -55%
48213 Detroit MI 89900 41000 -54%
48204 Detroit MI 80500 39200 -51%
48209 Detroit MI 64700 34500 -47%
48210 Detroit MI 68200 38000 -44%
48215 Detroit MI 85400 50400 -41%
48226 Detroit MI 83900 50900 -39%
48223 Detroit MI 81700 51500 -37%
48141 Inkster MI 65700 42300 -36%
48229 Ecorse MI 61100 40400 -34%
48208 Detroit MI 72000 50100 -30%
44137 Maple Heights OH 70000 52100 -26%
44509 Youngstown OH 40400 32700 -19%
48239 Redford MI 87300 72600 -17%
44128 Cleveland OH 59000 49200 -17%
44125 Garfield Heights OH 74200 63600 -14%
44132 Euclid OH 80400 69100 -14%
48122 Melvindale MI 61100 52600 -14%
47302 Muncie IN 49000 42400 -13%
45405 Dayton OH 54400 47400 -13%
44110 Cleveland OH 48200 42100 -13%
36104 Montgomery AL 58000 51100 -12%
跌得最快的全部在底特律,1996年的8.6万美元房产已经跌倒3.4万美元了。
如果我们从2007年房价高点算起,看看过去9年涨得最快的邮编:
ZIP City State 2007-06 2016-06 07年以来涨幅
11222 New York NY 630400 1575000 150%
94301 Palo Alto CA 1723800 3787900 120%
70124 New Orleans LA 189300 409300 116%
11211 New York NY 655500 1415500 116%
19146 Philadelphia PA 141200 289100 105%
94303 Palo Alto CA 1032200 2105900 104%
73082 Rush Springs OK 54900 106600 94%
78702 Austin TX 176900 343400 94%
78721 Austin TX 119600 227800 90%
77018 Houston TX 179100 339100 89%
94306 Palo Alto CA 1305200 2462800 89%
11231 New York NY 1453100 2737700 88%
78723 Austin TX 168600 316500 88%
11225 New York NY 738700 1386300 88%
37206 Nashville TN 142900 266200 86%
94402 CA 976500 1795600 84%
77055 Houston TX 216200 397300 84%
94041 Mountain View CA 955700 1732100 81%
80205 Denver CO 211600 381700 80%
94107 San Francisco CA 894300 1601600 79%
37216 Nashville TN 130900 232900 78%
15206 Pittsburgh PA 80200 142000 77%
37203 Nashville TN 136400 241000 77%
94040 Mountain View CA 1154300 2035600 76%
11213 New York NY 656100 1153500 76%
即使从金融危机的高点算起,纽约的11222邮编仍然涨了150%,Palo Alto的94301邮编涨了120%,可见机会在任何时候都存在。
对于大部分客户而言,可能最关心过去3年的情况,从2013—2016年间,全美房价增长最快的10个地区分别是:Richmond(94801)、 New York(11221)、Oakland(94601)、Modesto(95351)、Keyes(95328)、Clearlake(95422)、 Richmond(94804)、Sparks(89431)、Oakland(94605)、Vallejo(94590),房价的上涨幅度都达到了 100%,其中Richmond(94801)的房价增长了127%,成为2013年以来全美房价涨幅最高的地区。
我们都知道,纽约、旧金山、西雅图、洛杉矶、波士顿是目前美国房产投资最热门的五大城市,休斯顿、迈阿密的房产也逐渐火热起来,成为后起之秀。但是,还有部分美国城市的房价涨幅高、增长快,却并不被中国投资者所熟知。
下面我们看看美国各个主要城市过去三年的情况:
西雅图
ZIP City State 2013-01 2016-06 2013-2016房价增长
98002 Auburn WA 171300 267100 56%
98106 Seattle WA 246500 384200 56%
98148 Burien WA 215900 335700 55%
98168 Burien WA 194700 300400 54%
98004 Bellevue WA 1022700 1560900 53%
98108 Seattle WA 277200 421700 52%
98146 Burien WA 246500 374700 52%
98126 Seattle WA 334800 506900 51%
98133 Shoreline WA 314900 475300 51%
98047 Pacific WA 174500 263100 51%
98033 Kirkland WA 554600 835900 51%
98177 Shoreline WA 446300 672200 51%
98043 Mountlake Terrace WA 232600 349500 50%
98252 Granite Falls WA 167200 250900 50%
98294 Sultan WA 164600 246800 50%
98118 Seattle WA 292200 437400 50%
98125 Seattle WA 365400 546700 50%
98188 Seatac WA 214300 320500 50%
旧金山
ZIP City State 2013-01 2016-06 2013-2016房价增长
94801 Richmond CA 132300 299700 127%
94601 Oakland CA 209300 446300 113%
94804 Richmond CA 182300 374800 106%
94605 Oakland CA 277800 555100 100%
94612 Oakland CA 321600 622900 94%
94565 Pittsburg CA 181000 349800 93%
94607 Oakland CA 292400 563300 93%
94603 Oakland CA 173200 330500 91%
94621 Oakland CA 164600 312700 90%
94805 Richmond CA 255300 480800 88%
94085 Sunnyvale CA 533800 991900 86%
94806 San Pablo CA 205300 379700 85%
94608 Oakland CA 366200 670300 83%
94509 Antioch CA 179300 327600 83%
94606 Oakland CA 285200 515400 81%
94544 Hayward CA 298300 535500 80%
94107 San Francisco CA 899700 1601600 78%
94089 Sunnyvale CA 515200 913200 77%
94541 Hayward CA 305900 539900 76%
94061 Redwood City CA 804000 1416300 76%
94520 Concord CA 243800 425600 75%
94121 San Francisco CA 830500 1428300 72%
94002 Belmont CA 936800 1609500 72%
94560 Newark CA 425800 730600 72%
94572 Rodeo CA 257500 439800 71%
94577 San Leandro CA 347800 590700 70%
94803 El Sobrante CA 305800 519000 70%
94065 Redwood City CA 1004100 1703600 70%
洛杉矶
ZIP City State 2013-01 2016-06 2013-2016房价增长
90018 Los Angeles CA 291900 526700 80%
90007 Los Angeles CA 335800 589400 76%
90028 Los Angeles CA 558800 978100 75%
90029 Los Angeles CA 451400 763400 69%
90291 Los Angeles CA 961700 1623900 69%
90031 Los Angeles CA 315500 524500 66%
90016 Los Angeles CA 344800 570600 65%
90033 Los Angeles CA 237300 387100 63%
90006 Los Angeles CA 410400 667600 63%
90038 Los Angeles CA 519100 837300 61%
90066 Los Angeles CA 769000 1233500 60%
90004 Los Angeles CA 916300 1465400 60%
90266 Manhattan Beach CA 1429300 2265200 58%
90254 Hermosa Beach CA 991400 1564200 58%
93552 Palmdale CA 155400 245100 58%
90063 East Los Angeles CA 238200 375500 58%
93550 Palmdale CA 134300 211400 57%
90404 Santa Monica CA 764700 1200000 57%
90002 Los Angeles CA 190200 298200 57%
90210 Beverly Hills CA 3664500 5743400 57%
91606 Los Angeles CA 339900 529100 56%
90059 Los Angeles CA 196000 304300 55%
90008 Los Angeles CA 433200 672500 55%
90043 Los Angeles CA 328200 509100 55%
90042 Los Angeles CA 412800 640100 55%
90813 Long Beach CA 262800 407200 55%
90003 Los Angeles CA 209600 324500 55%
90062 Los Angeles CA 266500 406400 52%
90035 Los Angeles CA 936100 1427200 52%
93543 Littlerock CA 139800 213000 52%
90011 Los Angeles CA 228300 347400 52%
90270 Maywood CA 255800 388900 52%
90405 Santa Monica CA 1097600 1668400 52%
90232 Culver City CA 743000 1124800 51%
90026 Los Angeles CA 528600 798200 51%
纽约
ZIP City State 2013-01 2016-06 2013-2016房价增长
11221 New York NY 483300 1040700 115%
11233 New York NY 420100 818000 95%
11222 New York NY 835500 1575000 89%
11213 New York NY 633800 1153500 82%
11225 New York NY 770600 1386300 80%
11238 New York NY 1310200 2332300 78%
11211 New York NY 830700 1415500 70%
11231 New York NY 1624800 2737700 68%
11954 Montauk NY 754400 1231900 63%
11101 New York NY 597400 967600 62%
11963 Noyack NY 790700 1258400 59%
11104 New York NY 576600 894000 55%
11217 New York NY 1894000 2908100 54%
11215 New York NY 1277900 1919400 50%
11226 New York NY 556300 824500 48%
11930 Amagansett NY 1810800 2655200 47%
11102 New York NY 617600 904300 46%
11232 New York NY 606000 870000 44%
10952 Ramapo NY 421100 601900 43%
11103 New York NY 602800 861100 43%
11218 New York NY 713400 1009600 42%
11368 New York NY 468000 660700 41%
11356 New York NY 476300 671900 41%
11210 New York NY 501600 703500 40%
波士顿
ZIP City State 2013-01 2016-06 2013-2016房价增长
2120 Boston MA 343400 539600 57%
2128 Boston MA 270100 414100 53%
2119 Boston MA 286200 430300 50%
2141 Cambridge MA 472700 703300 49%
2127 Boston MA 451400 665800 47%
2145 Somerville MA 353200 519600 47%
2125 Boston MA 303200 443400 46%
2129 Boston MA 578500 828900 43%
2121 Boston MA 285600 409200 43%
2150 Chelsea MA 226300 323800 43%
2135 Boston MA 450300 642800 43%
2143 Somerville MA 494200 701700 42%
2139 Cambridge MA 668300 947300 42%
2126 Boston MA 236900 332800 40%
2118 Boston MA 2073700 2909200 40%
1902 Lynn MA 185800 259600 40%
2130 Boston MA 572400 797300 39%
1841 Lawrence MA 152100 211200 39%
2149 Everett MA 246400 339900 38%
1905 Lynn MA 201900 275900 37%
2144 Somerville MA 631800 857300 36%
2464 Newton MA 496400 671500 35%
2301 Brockton MA 183300 247700 35%
2122 Boston MA 321400 433100 35%
2114 Boston MA 2119000 2854000 35%
2445 Brookline MA 1360000 1831000 35%
2152 Winthrop MA 331200 445500 35%
休斯顿
ZIP City State 2013-01 2016-06 2013-2016房价增长
77092 Houston TX 127800 222300 74%
77067 Houston TX 75000 119100 59%
77033 Houston TX 40000 63100 58%
77073 Houston TX 87800 137900 57%
77038 Houston TX 75400 118200 57%
77039 Aldine TX 72400 110200 52%
77086 Houston TX 79400 120600 52%
77017 Houston TX 75700 114400 51%
77074 Houston TX 95300 143800 51%
77037 Houston TX 76200 114400 50%
77338 Humble TX 88400 132400 50%
77099 Houston TX 88400 132300 50%
77034 Houston TX 84900 126200 49%
77072 Houston TX 84600 125100 48%
77087 Houston TX 75700 111800 48%
77503 Pasadena TX 78700 115700 47%
77060 Houston TX 76500 112300 47%
77530 Channelview TX 78500 115200 47%
77502 Pasadena TX 80700 118100 46%
77032 Houston TX 71800 104800 46%
77012 Houston TX 61200 88900 45%
77013 Houston TX 79500 115300 45%
77587 South Houston TX 75800 109900 45%
77076 Houston TX 73100 105900 45%
77051 Houston TX 46400 67200 45%
迈阿密
ZIP City State 2013-01 2016-06 2013-2016房价增长
33150 Miami FL 86800 159300 84%
33435 Boynton Beach FL 94100 172300 83%
33460 Lake Worth FL 85500 154900 81%
33403 Lake Park FL 110200 199500 81%
33130 Miami FL 140200 252700 80%
33147 West Little River FL 76400 137400 80%
33415 Greenacres FL 97200 174800 80%
33167 Westview FL 82800 148300 79%
33139 Miami Beach FL 2089200 3686500 76%
33168 North Miami FL 87300 152900 75%
33461 Palm Springs FL 101800 176700 74%
33407 West Palm Beach FL 83000 143900 73%
33142 Miami FL 74200 128600 73%
33127 Miami FL 81700 141400 73%
33409 West Palm Beach FL 108700 186400 71%
33462 Lantana FL 117300 200500 71%
33032 Princeton FL 110000 187500 70%
33137 Miami FL 439900 749800 70%
33125 Miami FL 142800 243300 70%
33463 Greenacres FL 124400 211100 70%
33064 Pompano Beach FL 100600 169400 68%
33405 West Palm Beach FL 115800 194800 68%
33311 Fort Lauderdale FL 82300 138100 68%
33322 Sunrise FL 154500 258600 67%
33054 Miami Gardens FL 79700 132500 66%
33068 North Lauderdale FL 105100 173800 65%
33426 Boynton Beach FL 112700 186300 65%
33020 Hollywood FL 121300 199800 65%
33406 Lake Clarke Shores FL 133800 220200 65%
33470 Loxahatchee Groves FL 180500 296800 64%
33161 North Miami FL 139800 229700 64%
33145 Miami FL 234200 384000 64%
33135 Miami FL 161200 264100 64%
33401 West Palm Beach FL 117900 192900 64%
33351 Sunrise FL 149500 243000 63%
33030 Homestead FL 107300 173800 62%
33177 South Miami Heights FL 149900 242400 62%
33315 Fort Lauderdale FL 185600 299800 62%
33024 Pembroke Pines FL 141000 227700 61%
33010 Hialeah FL 150500 242500 61%
33417 Century Village FL 115900 186600 61%
33023 Miramar FL 115000 185000 61%
夏威夷
ZIP City State 2013-01 2016-06 2013-2016房价增长
96763 Lanai City HI 277600 468200 69%
96793 Wailuku HI 373400 547300 47%
96785 Volcano HI 146300 212600 45%
96732 Kahului HI 368400 524100 42%
96738 Waikoloa HI 331400 462500 40%
96746 Kapaa HI 372700 519900 39%
96704 Captain Cook HI 278200 385400 39%
96740 Kailua Kona HI 392400 542600 38%
96741 Kalaheo HI 472000 651000 38%
96791 Waialua HI 493100 678100 38%
96772 Naalehu HI 173900 235800 36%
96768 Makawao HI 462100 626200 36%
96771 Mountain View HI 145100 195500 35%
96766 Lihue HI 365300 490200 34%
96727 Honokaa HI 240200 320100 33%
96722 Princeville HI 704500 935200 33%
96761 Lahaina HI 578200 760900 32%
96705 Hanapepe HI 323200 423900 31%
在房价最贵的10个邮编中,Atherton(ZIP:94027)涨的最快:
下面我们看看三年前房屋均价50万美元以上的城市涨幅:(以下为房价增长较快城市的排序)
ZIP City State 2013-01 2016-06 2013-2016房价增长
11222 New York NY 835500 1575000 89%
94085 Sunnyvale CA 533800 991900 86%
11213 New York NY 633800 1153500 82%
11225 New York NY 770600 1386300 80%
94107 San Francisco CA 899700 1601600 78%
11238 New York NY 1310200 2332300 78%
94089 Sunnyvale CA 515200 913200 77%
33139 Miami Beach FL 2089200 3686500 76%
94061 Redwood City CA 804000 1416300 76%
90028 Los Angeles CA 558800 978100 75%
94121 San Francisco CA 830500 1428300 72%
94002 Belmont CA 936800 1609500 72%
93103 Santa Barbara CA 851300 1459300 71%
11211 New York NY 830700 1415500 70%
94065 Redwood City CA 1004100 1703600 70%
94063 Redwood City CA 505000 853600 69%
90291 Los Angeles CA 961700 1623900 69%
11231 New York NY 1624800 2737700 68%
93109 Santa Barbara CA 834800 1393600 67%
94404 Foster City CA 928600 1544200 66%
94086 Sunnyvale CA 855500 1417500 66%
94403 San Mateo CA 813400 1340500 65%
94303 Palo Alto CA 1279700 2105900 65%
94402 San Mateo CA 1092300 1795600 64%
可以看出,增速在80%以上的4个地区中,位于纽约的就有3个;在增速前10位的城市中,除了我们熟知的较热门的城市之外,还有像 Sunnyvale(CA)、Miami Beach (FL)、Redwood City(CA)等我们不怎么关注的城市和地区。同时,从上面的排名中不难看出,纽约州和加州依然是房价上涨最快速的州。

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hwarrensen





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发表于 2016-8-27 03:13 PM  资料  个人空间  主页 短消息  加为好友 
很有意义的数据

收藏了。

两个有意思的推论:

一:长线投资
二:理性的期望。看数字涨幅惊人,但如果你计算一下年化复合增长率 (Compound Annual Growth Rate, CAGR), 前三名是 [10%, 9.9%, 9.5%], 似乎并不是特别难以达到的目标。

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